Prediction: Crew 2.0 Instructors in Black Market 2022

I reported a few days ago that Crew 2.0 will “not be released anytime soon” and since then we have had an update from Wargaming:

“Commanders!

First of all, we express our sincere gratitude for your engagement in testing Crew 2.0 in the Sandbox. Thank you very much for your feedback, time, and involvement. Participation of the community in the Sandbox and your input across all online platforms, enabled us to collect a significant amount of data and feedback.

What’s going on right now?

As of now, no decision has been made regarding the future of Crew 2.0. Currently we continue to process the data we have collected that will help to guide our future decisions. We have a lot to do, and we will be updating you on further developments as we work out specific solutions.

What’s next?

One thing you can be certain of—the new crew system will not be released to live servers for at least half a year.

Once we have processed all the data, we will need time to elaborate potential changes based on your feedback and collected information, then test them. All decisions regarding Crew 2.0 will be communicated and tested together with the community. This was, and still remains, the main condition for the release of the feature.

Our deepest gratitude to everyone who contributed to Crew 2.0, shared their feedback, and helped us to improve this feature.”

Crew 2.0: What’s On The Horizon? | General News | World of Tanks (worldoftanks.eu)

Crew 2.0 is something that Wargaming want to put into the game. It’s going to happen. You don’t task a large amount of company resources to make such a drastic addition to the game, only to throw it away –  it’s bad business sense.

Thankfully, they have made it clear that it will only be added to the game on the condition that the playerbase accepts it. This is good. It means the next iteration of the Sandbox ought to be drastically different. However, the key monetization component of Crew 2.0 is the instructors, and I do not expect Wargaming to change these. I expect they will be monetized just as much as premium vehicles are, if not more.

One critical line in Wargaming’s announcement:

“One thing you can be certain of—the new crew system will not be released to live servers for at least half a year.”

Taking this literally, half a year from the announcement is February 25th. The Black Market runs around this time – at the end of May in 2019; at the beginning of February in 2020; and at the beginning of March 2021. Wargaming without a doubt would have included Instructors in Holiday Ops 2022, but now that is out of the question, when is the next event where players spend all their credits and hundreds of dollars worth of Gold? The Black Market…

I would say there is a very strong possibility that Wargaming will release a new Crew 2.0 Sandbox before the end of the year, which will have had adequate adjustments and will be generally accepted by the playerbase. We’ll see it hit the Test Servers in January, and go live just before the Black Market event in 2022, with valuable instructors being featured in whole, or in part, in the Black Market event.

I look forward to seeing if I’m right!

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